Nifty and Bank Nifty Analysis for 14th May 2020
The Prime Minister announced a package of Rs. 20 lakh crore for the COVID relief package. In reaction, Indian markets opened with a big gap up. However, We saw profit booking at the higher levels and remain in a range for the most of the time.
Let’s check the data and do the analysis for Bank Nifty and Nifty for 13th May 2020 based on Open Interest, Change in OI, PCR, Max pain and Trend Cycles.
Bank Nifty Option Front
Bank Nifty has given closing at 19634.95 on spot on 13th May 2020. On the options front, maximum Put open interest was at 18,000 followed by 18,500 levels, while maximum Call OI was at 20,000 followed by 21,000 levels. The OI positions are scattered at various strike rates, indicates the volatility can remain in the market. A good call addition and put unwinding has been seen around the ATM strike.
Trading Range Of Bank Nifty
Now time to find out the trading range of the bank nifty. Trading Range is a general range between the highest call strike and highest put strike. To find the range, we need to look for the highest call OI Row and Highest Put OI Row on the option chain of the Bank Nifty. Trading range seems to be 18000 to 21000.
1. Highest Call at 20,000.
2. Highest Put at 18,000.
3. Pivot Level at 19,500.
Highest call acts as the highest resistance and highest put acts as the highest support for the Nifty and bank nifty. Pivot level is the level that bulls and bears don’t want to let it go easily. Tug of the war goes around the pivot level between bulls and bears generally.
Trading Range Of Nifty
Nifty has given closing at 9383.55 at spot on 13th May, 2020. On the options front, maximum Call OI was at 9,500 and then 10,000 levels while maximum Put OI was at 9,000 and then 9,200 levels. The OI positions are scattered at various strike rates, indicates the volatility can remain in the market. The trading Range of the Nifty is between 9000 and 9500.
1. Highest Call at 9500.
2. Highest Put at 9,000.
3. Pivot Level at 9400.
3. Pivot Level at 9400.
India Vix
India VIX moved up marginally by 1.65% to 38.83. Higher VIX indicates the uncertainty in the market and suggests volatile swings may continue in the market. It is sustaining above the maximum on Box Plot into outlier data on the daily scale and thus volatile swings may continue in the coming days. If you wonder what Box Plot is and how it works, you can check here details.
Derivative Data
Symbol
|
Max Pain
|
Pre. Max Pain
|
PCR (OI)
|
Bank Nifty
|
19500
|
19000
|
0.72
|
Nifty
|
9350
|
9200
|
1.12
|
Remarks
|
Trend Cycles (EOD)
 |
| Bank Nifty Trend Cycles |
 |
| Nifty Trend Cycles |
Conclusion
Bank Nifty and Nifty reentered into range. For another move, both the indices need to break the range. Bank Nifty has given closing above the Pivot level however, nifty has given closed just below it Pivot level. So, overall, bank nifty looks in range whereas Nifty looks mixed. We have higher VIX that indicates the volatile swings in the market. Trend Cycles on Bank Nifty show Short-Short cover cycles but the Nifty cycles still looks mixed.
Disclaimer: The analysis has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not and should not be regarded as investment advice or as a recommendation regarding any particular security or course of action.
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